World Cup · June 11 — July 19 2026 · USA MEX CAN
Our record so far: 2/3 winners · 0/3 exact scores — ✗ Canada game, ✓ South Korea game, ✓ Mexico game
The betting market makes Mexico the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Mexico 68%, draw 21%, South Africa 10%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.8 goals for Mexico and 0.6 for South Africa. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
FIFA rankings: Mexico #14 vs South Africa #60 — Mexico rate higher than South Africa.
Tournament opener, rematch of the 2010 opener (1-1). Mexico unbeaten in 8 in 2026 with 6 clean sheets, beat Serbia 5-1 on Jun 4; Rangel expected in goal (Malagon out, ruptured Achilles), Edson Alvarez back from injury. South Africa winless in 5; altitude camp in Pachuca but Azteca sits at 2,240m with a ~87,500 sellout.
Odds: sportsbook close (2026-06-11 19:49Z) — 1.435 / 4.3 / 8.5, line -1.5.
The betting market makes South Korea the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say South Korea 36%, draw 32%, Czechia 33%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.2 goals for South Korea and 1.1 for Czechia. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
FIFA rankings: South Korea #25 vs Czechia #40 — South Korea rate higher than Czechia.
Tightest line of the opening slate - near pick'em. Czechia's first WC as an independent nation since 2006 (came through the UEFA playoffs); Korea built around the Son Heung-min generation in its likely final World Cup cycle.
Odds: sportsbook close (2026-06-11 19:49Z) — 2.7 / 3.05 / 2.95, line -0.5.
The betting market makes Canada the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Canada 53%, draw 27%, Bosnia-Herzegovina 20%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.5 goals for Canada and 0.8 for Bosnia-Herzegovina. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
FIFA rankings: Canada #30 vs Bosnia-Herzegovina #64 — Canada rate higher than Bosnia-Herzegovina.
Canada's first home men's World Cup match, right after the Canadian opening ceremony at BMO Field. Bosnia's first WC since 2014 - qualified by beating Italy in the playoff final.
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.88 / 3.711 / 5.038, line -0.5.
The betting market makes United States the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say United States 46%, draw 29%, Paraguay 24%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.3 goals for United States and 0.9 for Paraguay. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
FIFA rankings: United States #17 vs Paraguay #41 — United States rate higher than Paraguay.
Pochettino's USMNT beat Senegal 3-2 then lost the final warm-up 2-1 to Germany; Pulisic and Balogun (19 goals for Monaco) lead the attack, Chris Richards (ankle) only just back. Paraguay under Alfaro are pragmatic and set-piece based, won 3 of last 4 and beat Argentina in qualifying. USA won the Nov 2025 friendly meeting 2-1.
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (21°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 2.162 / 3.392 / 4.122, line -0.5.
The betting market makes Switzerland the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Qatar 6%, draw 13%, Switzerland 81%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.5 goals for Qatar and 2.4 for Switzerland. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
FIFA rankings: Qatar #56 vs Switzerland #19 — Switzerland rate higher than Qatar.
Most lopsided line of the opening slate (Switzerland -425). Qatar's first World Cup reached through qualification - in 2022 as hosts they lost all three games.
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 17.129 / 7.507 / 1.237, line +1.5.
The betting market makes Brazil the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Brazil 60%, draw 24%, Morocco 16%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.7 goals for Brazil and 0.7 for Morocco. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
FIFA rankings: Brazil #6 vs Morocco #7 — Brazil rate higher than Morocco.
Marquee game of the opening weekend - effectively decides top spot in Group C. Ancelotti's first WC as Brazil boss with patchy form (beat Croatia 3-1, lost to France 2-1 in March); Vinicius and Raphinha lead. Morocco are reigning AFCON champions but coach Regragui resigned afterward - rookie Mohamed Ouahbi now in charge; won all 8 CAF qualifiers (22-2 goals). Hakimi vs Vinicius is the key duel; Morocco won the last meeting 2-1 (2023).
Forecast high heat (32°C) at kickoff — total goals trimmed 5%.
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.675 / 4.141 / 6.194, line -1.0.
The betting market makes Scotland the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Haiti 16%, draw 22%, Scotland 62%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.8 goals for Haiti and 1.9 for Scotland. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
FIFA rankings: Haiti #83 vs Scotland #42 — Scotland rate higher than Haiti.
Scotland's first men's World Cup since 1998; Haiti's first since 1974, qualified amid domestic crisis having played home qualifiers abroad. The 2.5-goal total is priced dead even both ways.
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 6.426 / 4.55 / 1.601, line +1.0.
The betting market makes Türkiye the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Australia 18%, draw 25%, Türkiye 57%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.9 goals for Australia and 1.7 for Türkiye. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
FIFA rankings: Australia #27 vs Türkiye #22 — Türkiye rate higher than Australia.
Part of the June 13 slate locally (Vancouver 9pm). Türkiye's first World Cup since their third-place finish in 2002.
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (20°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 5.559 / 4.031 / 1.748, line +0.5.
The betting market makes Germany the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Germany 95%, draw 3%, Curaçao 1%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.5 goals for Germany and 0.0 for Curaçao. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -3.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (33°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 30 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.05 / 29.103 / 77.564, line -3.5.
The betting market makes Netherlands the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Netherlands 49%, draw 26%, Japan 25%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.6 goals for Netherlands and 1.1 for Japan. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (35°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 30 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 2.051 / 3.8 / 4.011, line -0.5.
The betting market makes Ecuador the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Ivory Coast 26%, draw 34%, Ecuador 40%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.4 goals for Ivory Coast and 1.7 for Ecuador. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 3.805 / 2.968 / 2.499, line +0.5.
The betting market makes Sweden the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Sweden 52%, draw 27%, Tunisia 21%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.5 goals for Sweden and 0.9 for Tunisia. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.936 / 3.682 / 4.722, line -0.5.
The betting market makes Spain the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Spain 91%, draw 7%, Cape Verde 3%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.6 goals for Spain and 0.0 for Cape Verde. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -2.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (26°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.099 / 15.332 / 39.921, line -2.5.
The betting market makes Belgium the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Belgium 60%, draw 24%, Egypt 16%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.7 goals for Belgium and 0.8 for Egypt. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Forecast high heat (31°C) at kickoff — total goals trimmed 5%.
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.658 / 4.244 / 6.205, line -1.0.
The betting market makes Uruguay the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Saudi Arabia 11%, draw 20%, Uruguay 68%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.5 goals for Saudi Arabia and 1.8 for Uruguay. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Forecast extreme heat (33°C) at kickoff — total goals trimmed 10%.
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 8.997 / 4.88 / 1.462, line +1.0.
The betting market makes Iran the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Iran 53%, draw 27%, New Zealand 20%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.5 goals for Iran and 0.8 for New Zealand. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (22°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.876 / 3.707 / 5.069, line -0.5.
The betting market makes France the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say France 67%, draw 21%, Senegal 12%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.9 goals for France and 0.7 for Senegal. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.5 / 4.774 / 8.07, line -1.0.
The betting market makes Norway the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Iraq 6%, draw 12%, Norway 82%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.2 goals for Iraq and 2.2 for Norway. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +2.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 17.796 / 8.067 / 1.22, line +2.0.
The betting market makes Argentina the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Argentina 70%, draw 20%, Algeria 10%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.0 goals for Argentina and 0.6 for Algeria. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.424 / 5.043 / 10.04, line -1.5.
The betting market makes Austria the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Austria 74%, draw 16%, Jordan 9%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.3 goals for Austria and 0.7 for Jordan. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.349 / 6.104 / 10.564, line -1.5.
The betting market makes Portugal the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Portugal 77%, draw 15%, Congo DR 8%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.3 goals for Portugal and 0.6 for Congo DR. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (32°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 29 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.3 / 6.475 / 13.109, line -1.5.
The betting market makes England the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say England 56%, draw 25%, Croatia 19%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.6 goals for England and 0.9 for Croatia. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (37°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.772 / 4.037 / 5.32, line -0.5.
The betting market makes Ghana the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Ghana 45%, draw 28%, Panama 27%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.4 goals for Ghana and 1.0 for Panama. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 29 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 2.211 / 3.62 / 3.683, line -0.5.
The betting market makes Colombia the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Uzbekistan 10%, draw 19%, Colombia 71%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.6 goals for Uzbekistan and 2.0 for Colombia. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 29 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 10.124 / 5.203 / 1.41, line +1.5.
The betting market makes Czechia the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Czechia 56%, draw 25%, South Africa 20%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.6 goals for Czechia and 0.9 for South Africa. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (28°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 29 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.799 / 4.051 / 5.065, line -0.5.
The betting market makes Switzerland the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Switzerland 61%, draw 23%, Bosnia-Herzegovina 16%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.8 goals for Switzerland and 0.8 for Bosnia-Herzegovina. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (23°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 29 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.629 / 4.347 / 6.399, line -1.0.
The betting market makes Canada the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Canada 76%, draw 17%, Qatar 8%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.1 goals for Canada and 0.5 for Qatar. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (20°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 29 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.323 / 6.016 / 12.813, line -1.5.
The betting market makes Mexico the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Mexico 49%, draw 28%, South Korea 23%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.4 goals for Mexico and 0.9 for South Korea. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 29 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 2.053 / 3.539 / 4.339, line -0.5.
The betting market makes United States the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say United States 56%, draw 24%, Australia 20%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.6 goals for United States and 0.9 for Australia. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 29 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.799 / 4.13 / 4.953, line -0.5.
The betting market makes Morocco the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Scotland 22%, draw 29%, Morocco 49%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.9 goals for Scotland and 1.4 for Morocco. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 29 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 4.449 / 3.502 / 2.042, line +0.5.
The betting market makes Brazil the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Brazil 93%, draw 5%, Haiti 2%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.3 goals for Brazil and 0.0 for Haiti. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -3.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 24 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.081 / 18.315 / 49.479, line -3.0.
The betting market makes Türkiye the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Türkiye 43%, draw 29%, Paraguay 27%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.3 goals for Türkiye and 1.0 for Paraguay. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 28 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 2.308 / 3.4 / 3.668, line -0.5.
The betting market makes Netherlands the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Netherlands 60%, draw 23%, Sweden 17%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.8 goals for Netherlands and 0.9 for Sweden. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (33°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 27 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.675 / 4.365 / 5.748, line -1.0.
The betting market makes Germany the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Germany 63%, draw 21%, Ivory Coast 16%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.9 goals for Germany and 0.9 for Ivory Coast. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 28 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.582 / 4.724 / 6.394, line -1.0.
The betting market makes Ecuador the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Ecuador 83%, draw 12%, Curaçao 5%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.4 goals for Ecuador and 0.4 for Curaçao. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -2.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Forecast high heat (30°C) at kickoff — total goals trimmed 5%.
Odds: fair consensus of 28 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.21 / 8.417 / 18.26, line -2.0.
The betting market makes Japan the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Tunisia 17%, draw 26%, Japan 57%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.7 goals for Tunisia and 1.5 for Japan. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Forecast high heat (28°C) at kickoff — total goals trimmed 5%.
Odds: fair consensus of 28 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 5.898 / 3.867 / 1.749, line +0.5.
The betting market makes Spain the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Spain 90%, draw 7%, Saudi Arabia 3%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.3 goals for Spain and 0.0 for Saudi Arabia. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -2.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (23°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 28 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.111 / 13.67 / 37.411, line -2.5.
The betting market makes Belgium the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Belgium 70%, draw 19%, Iran 11%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.0 goals for Belgium and 0.7 for Iran. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (22°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 28 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.431 / 5.21 / 9.158, line -1.5.
The betting market makes Uruguay the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Uruguay 68%, draw 20%, Cape Verde 12%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.8 goals for Uruguay and 0.6 for Cape Verde. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Forecast extreme heat (33°C) at kickoff — total goals trimmed 10%.
Odds: fair consensus of 28 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.466 / 4.978 / 8.555, line -1.0.
The betting market makes Egypt the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say New Zealand 19%, draw 25%, Egypt 56%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.8 goals for New Zealand and 1.6 for Egypt. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (20°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 28 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 5.24 / 3.998 / 1.789, line +0.5.
The betting market makes Argentina the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Argentina 60%, draw 24%, Austria 16%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.8 goals for Argentina and 0.9 for Austria. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (33°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 28 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.675 / 4.186 / 6.093, line -1.0.
The betting market makes France the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say France 89%, draw 9%, Iraq 3%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.3 goals for France and 0.0 for Iraq. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -2.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 28 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.129 / 11.534 / 36.365, line -2.5.
The betting market makes Norway the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Norway 45%, draw 27%, Senegal 28%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.5 goals for Norway and 1.1 for Senegal. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 28 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 2.216 / 3.713 / 3.579, line -0.5.
The betting market makes Algeria the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Jordan 14%, draw 22%, Algeria 64%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.8 goals for Jordan and 1.9 for Algeria. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 28 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 7.184 / 4.603 / 1.554, line +1.0.
The betting market makes Portugal the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Portugal 79%, draw 13%, Uzbekistan 7%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.1 goals for Portugal and 0.3 for Uzbekistan. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (34°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 27 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.259 / 7.437 / 14.006, line -1.5.
The betting market makes England the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say England 75%, draw 17%, Ghana 9%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.3 goals for England and 0.7 for Ghana. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 27 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.342 / 6.026 / 11.216, line -1.5.
The betting market makes Croatia the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Panama 14%, draw 23%, Croatia 63%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.8 goals for Panama and 1.8 for Croatia. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 27 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 7.304 / 4.267 / 1.591, line +1.0.
The betting market makes Colombia the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Colombia 67%, draw 22%, Congo DR 12%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.8 goals for Colombia and 0.6 for Congo DR. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 27 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.502 / 4.633 / 8.442, line -1.0.
The betting market makes Bosnia-Herzegovina the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Bosnia-Herzegovina 60%, draw 24%, Qatar 16%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.7 goals for Bosnia-Herzegovina and 0.8 for Qatar. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 23 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.665 / 4.129 / 6.359, line -1.0.
The betting market makes Switzerland the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Switzerland 45%, draw 28%, Canada 27%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.6 goals for Switzerland and 0.9 for Canada. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.2 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (24°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 23 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 2.211 / 3.559 / 3.749, line -0.2.
The betting market makes Brazil the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Scotland 13%, draw 19%, Brazil 67%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.6 goals for Scotland and 1.9 for Brazil. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Forecast extreme heat (33°C) at kickoff — total goals trimmed 10%.
Odds: fair consensus of 23 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 7.609 / 5.144 / 1.483, line +1.0.
The betting market makes Morocco the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Morocco 73%, draw 17%, Haiti 9%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.2 goals for Morocco and 0.7 for Haiti. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (35°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 23 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.362 / 5.747 / 10.899, line -1.5.
The betting market makes Mexico the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Czechia 20%, draw 26%, Mexico 53%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.9 goals for Czechia and 1.6 for Mexico. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 4.943 / 3.774 / 1.877, line +0.5.
The betting market makes South Korea the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say South Africa 16%, draw 23%, South Korea 61%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.8 goals for South Africa and 1.8 for South Korea. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 6.292 / 4.27 / 1.648, line +0.5.
The betting market makes Ivory Coast the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Curaçao 6%, draw 13%, Ivory Coast 81%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.5 goals for Curaçao and 2.4 for Ivory Coast. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 16.624 / 7.47 / 1.241, line +1.5.
The betting market makes Germany the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Ecuador 19%, draw 25%, Germany 56%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.1 goals for Ecuador and 1.6 for Germany. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.8 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 5.154 / 4.07 / 1.785, line +0.8.
The betting market makes Japan the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Japan 46%, draw 27%, Sweden 26%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.4 goals for Japan and 1.1 for Sweden. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (39°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 2.172 / 3.639 / 3.776, line -0.5.
The betting market makes Netherlands the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Tunisia 14%, draw 21%, Netherlands 65%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.8 goals for Tunisia and 1.9 for Netherlands. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 7.303 / 4.697 / 1.538, line +1.0.
The betting market makes Paraguay the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Paraguay 44%, draw 29%, Australia 27%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.5 goals for Paraguay and 0.8 for Australia. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.2 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 2.251 / 3.444 / 3.767, line -0.2.
The betting market makes United States the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Türkiye 36%, draw 27%, United States 37%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.3 goals for Türkiye and 1.3 for United States. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (22°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 2.765 / 3.733 / 2.7, line +0.0.
The betting market makes France the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Norway 21%, draw 26%, France 53%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.0 goals for Norway and 1.6 for France. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 4.678 / 3.898 / 1.888, line +0.5.
The betting market makes Senegal the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Senegal 69%, draw 20%, Iraq 11%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.0 goals for Senegal and 0.7 for Iraq. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.439 / 5.107 / 9.136, line -1.0.
The betting market makes Cape Verde the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Cape Verde 41%, draw 27%, Saudi Arabia 32%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.3 goals for Cape Verde and 1.1 for Saudi Arabia. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (33°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 2.413 / 3.762 / 3.128, line +0.0.
The betting market makes Spain the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Uruguay 17%, draw 23%, Spain 60%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.0 goals for Uruguay and 1.7 for Spain. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.8 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 5.954 / 4.266 / 1.673, line +0.8.
The betting market makes Belgium the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say New Zealand 8%, draw 15%, Belgium 77%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.6 goals for New Zealand and 2.3 for Belgium. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (25°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 12.075 / 6.605 / 1.306, line +1.5.
The betting market makes Egypt the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Egypt 43%, draw 31%, Iran 26%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.5 goals for Egypt and 0.8 for Iran. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.2 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 2.338 / 3.225 / 3.813, line -0.2.
The betting market makes Croatia the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Croatia 59%, draw 24%, Ghana 16%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.6 goals for Croatia and 0.9 for Ghana. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.8 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.69 / 4.095 / 6.089, line -0.8.
The betting market makes England the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Panama 9%, draw 14%, England 77%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.7 goals for Panama and 2.4 for England. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 11.513 / 6.91 / 1.301, line +1.5.
The betting market makes Portugal the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Colombia 27%, draw 28%, Portugal 45%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.9 goals for Colombia and 1.6 for Portugal. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.2 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 3.755 / 3.533 / 2.219, line +0.2.
The betting market makes Congo DR the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Congo DR 41%, draw 29%, Uzbekistan 30%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.4 goals for Congo DR and 0.9 for Uzbekistan. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.2 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 2.424 / 3.48 / 3.332, line -0.2.
The betting market makes Austria the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Algeria 26%, draw 30%, Austria 44%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.9 goals for Algeria and 1.6 for Austria. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.2 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 3.863 / 3.373 / 2.249, line +0.2.
The betting market makes Argentina the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Jordan 5%, draw 12%, Argentina 83%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.6 goals for Jordan and 2.6 for Argentina. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +2.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 18.93 / 8.525 / 1.205, line +2.0.
Devigged sportsbook odds → three-market triangulation → Dixon-Coles scorelines · generated 2026-06-12T20:01:54+00:00
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